A UK based research and political risk consultancy firm has stated based on probability that incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party will win the 2015 Presidential Election with a margin of 13 per cent. Vanguard report.
Kevin, Charlyn & Kimberly Associates, which used both ‘monkey survey’ and ‘Political Risk Index’ to forecast the Nigerian election, projected a Jonathan’s win if everything remains constant.
In a statement by Mr. O.C Vince, the Vice President of the firm for West Africa while addressing a press conference today in Abuja, he explained that the firm has no partisan interest in the outcome of the election which is left for the people of Nigeria to decide.
The group said it decided to conduct the survey because of the general global interest the Nigeria election has generated.
‘Many people around the world, including political leaders and investors are focusing on Nigeria to see how the process of democracy is managed’. Mr. Vince said.
The statement reads:
“We randomly conducted a nationwide opinion poll focusing on the six geo-political regions of Nigeria: North East, North West, North Central, South West, South East and South- South. The sampled population were asked three questions centering on human rights, the economy and security”
It would be recalled that in another survey tagged “Straw Prediction of 2015 Presidential Election”, Buhari was tipped to win the Presidential election.