JONATHAN AND 2015: STOP THIS PORN!

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JONATHAN AND 2015: STOP THIS PORN!

Among the sundry ways to recognize a leader under pressure, confusion, and uncertainty is his utterances in diverse platforms. it is no gainsaying that despite the show of boldness and courage in recent times by Jonathan in his addresses, a discreet appraisal will reveal the standpoint of a man between the devil and a  deep blue sea. I will be committing the sin of mendacity to say that Mr President’s words recently came as a surprise to me. As pressure mounts up ahead of the general elections next year, or perhaps, the brother to it (if going by the recommendation of the national conference), it becomes regrettable that Jonathan seems to be playing a mind game to place the majority of Nigerians in the dark as to his ambition in 2015. In a build up to this year’s Democracy day,    Jonathan had recently, before a sacred platform, declared inter alia “after today, the next democracy day will witness a new government…”, thereby, throwing many Nigerians to a special retreat to extract or deduce the exact interpretation as to what he meant, some having concluded that such statement is suggestive of him not contesting in 2015. Even the devil knows not the thought of man and the latter can be deductible from his words;  of course, it is obvious that the phrase is prone to generating multi-interpretation. But if Jonathan could form the requisite courage to tell the public that he attempted to bribe Kano delegates during last PDP presidential primary elections, what stops him from consciously declaring whether or not he will contest in 2015? Sometimes, just courses, I apprehend, could be pursued with foolish wisdom.

In my contemplative soliloquy, avoiding being suffused in any biased ideological proposition, two main reasons were advanced which, though not unarguable, may not be totally out of consideration in prompting such a decision to hide behind the wall, or better still, not to uncover the open secret; judging by his actions and body languages (apologies to Hon. Aminu Tambuwal). It was a well coined percepton about stategy for victory and aftermath praise or blame when Shakespeare said ‘weigh what convenience both of time and means may fit your shape if this should fail and the drift looks through its bad performance, it was better not assayed’. As much as i do concur with the thoughts of the ancient literary wordsmith, am poised to make this addendum that Mr. Jonathan is holding the principle(s) inherent in this maxim with much rigidity not heeding to present political realities in Nigeria.

First, it becomes logically deductible that Mr. President, based on what his administration has accomplish so far, is not very certain if the people’s votes will align him another opportunity at the Aso Rock. This is the case where  a free, fair and transparent election in 2015 is anticipated. Upteentimes, the president has boasted about his administration’s performance from its inception and one wonders, if balancing between theory and practice and between statements and realities, it could have been obvious for even an average Nigerian to realize, recognize and applaud the administation and most importantly, nurtured the thoughts of giving  it another chance. Perhaps, there is something he is not telling Nigerians yet. If  he is taking this injury time to cut all the Ts and dot all the Is (as is the case with most Nigerian politicians in his stead), then we may just be unoptioned to wait and see, in which case, the boastings should remain minimal. Do we say, Mr. President, that you have succeeded or likely to succeed in tackling all the problems that has bedevilled this nation except one; BOKO HARAM? a poser i will hastily throw my weight to the affirmative. If given the benefits of the doubts to this line of thought as the reason for his play on words as to the future, then it affords reasonable grounds, in the absence of much explanation, that he is towing the path of failure already. He ought to have known that by now, if what we’ve seen in the administration is anything to go by, the conclusion, whether or not, to grant the government a second chance, is a decision already taken or being taken but with utmost optimism;  after all, what is good cannot be bad and like the francophones say ‘you dont change a winning team’. On this point, i have said nothing than that, it is abysmal, why Jonathan after all he professes as the gargantuan accomplisments of his administration, cannot be certain and or confident of a guaranteed second term vote by the Nigerians in a free, fair and transparent election come 2015. This may just be suggestive of his muteness.

The second is much the traditional reason that has hitherto become part of the electoral processes to guarantee victory; atleast for second-tenured candidacy. Unlike the above reasons where a free, fair and transparent process is envisaged, in this case, i make bold to say that Mr. President has not yet declared his intention, perhaps for the sole reason that the instruments, players and political machineries, been galvanized for his ultimate ‘do or die’ success in the mission is not well certain and on ground(you may wish to check the selection of ministers during the recent cabinet reshuffle). It is no special news that elections in Nigeria have not altogether been smooth and transparent. Thus Mr. President might just be gambling his options and making all the necessary permutations to foresee a positive outcome-even before the day comes.  What more, when in politics, an incumbent candidate (not to talk of a President) vying for the second tenure has hardly failed, he is determine not to be an exception. As the chief executive and commander-in-mischief, no chief, he has all the opportunity and or privileges, backed up by well defined schemes and stategies, to infuence the election process and retain the number one seat. There happenings are not uncommon to us in Nigeria and so we are watching.

My conclusion suggests itself as an obvious syllogism, Jonathan should avoid giving Nigerians a valid reason to think otherwise of him and his admlnistration, moreso, when the administration, if not for the BOKO HARAM insurgency, is receiving solid support and believe from the populace. it is hightime he tells Nigerians, in unambiguity, if, come 2015, he remains  IN or OUT, because like i have said on sundry fora, a decision at the eleventh hour may boomerang. Though favour (luck) is sometimes (if not all the times) not fair, its root may be destroyed by indecision or a late one. It may take much more than luck to scale through 2015. Time suffers no fool.

 

Written by Agwu David Nwaze

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